Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: KAA Gent Arena (Gent)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)


	Gent		Eupen

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	12	Watch
	1.22	6.5	12	Watch
	1.24	6.75	11.55
	1.22	5	8.5
	1.21	6.65	11.75	Watch
	1.22	7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)	6.32 ↑ (4.89)	11.13 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
76.7%

Draw
14.8%

Eupen
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.2%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

18.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent's performance.

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	5.9%	17.6%

Gent - Eupen Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Eupen will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nardi P. (G) 5. Kandouss I. 4. Watanabe T. 3. Brown A. 18. Samoise M. 13. De Sart J. 6. Gandelman O. 19. Fofana M. 17. Hjulsager A. 11. Cuypers H. 20. Orban G.	22. Slonina G. (G) 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. 3. Davidson J. 2. Van Genechten Y. 6. Baiye B. 23. Christie-Davies I. 29. Alloh T. 19. Pantovic M. 27. Finnbogason A. 7. Nuhu I.
Substitutes
21. Agbor B. 22. Fadiga N. 8. Gerkens P. 24. Kums S. 33. Roef D. (G) 10. Tissoudali T. 23. Torunarigha J.	11. Bitumazala N. 10. Charles-Cook R. 25. Filin A. 30. Gorenc J. 21. Kral J. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 34. Youndje K.
Coaches
Vanhaezebrouck H.	Kohfeldt F.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gent won 4.

Gent is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Eupen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gent could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gent is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Gent: Depoitre L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Eupen: Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Mohwald K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Gent: Fortuna N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Eupen: Bitumazala N. (Muscle Injury) Gorenc J. (Ankle Injury) Lambert B. (Knock) Magnee G. (Knock)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Gent won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gent won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Zorya Luhansk - Gent	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.09.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Gent	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Gent - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	APOEL - Gent	1:2 ✺
24.08.23	Gent - APOEL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWWW
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.09.23	Eupen - Standard Liège	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Kortrijk - Eupen	1:3 ✺
13.08.23	Eupen - Club Brugge	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.03.23	Gent - Eupen	3:0
09.10.22	Eupen - Gent	0:4
12.02.22	Eupen - Gent	0:1
17.10.21	Gent - Eupen	2:0
Belgian Cup
03.03.21	Eupen - Gent	1:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.21	Gent - Eupen	2:2
11.09.20	Eupen - Gent	2:1

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