Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 34

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pairay (Seraing)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)


	Seraing		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4.6	1.5
	6	4.8	1.48
	6.27	4.7	1.5
	6	4.65	1.48	Watch
	5.8	4.7	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (4.74)	4.61 ↑ (4.02)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seraing
16.2%

Draw
20.6%

Westerlo
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

23.2%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

22.5%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Westerlo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	21.1%	63.2%

Seraing - Westerlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Westerlo will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (100%), project points - 20, currently - 20, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Westerlo has the most likely position - 7 (37.91%), project points - 51, currently - 51, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, very small importance 0, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seraing won 0.

Seraing has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Westerlo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Westerlo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Westerlo is a favorite.

There will not play in Seraing: Bernier A. (Injury) Galje T. (Injury) Tremoulet S. (Injury)

There will not play in Westerlo: Bernat J. (Knee Injury) Daci E. (Knee Injury) Lucas Mineiro (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Seraing won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Seraing
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.04.23	Saint-Gilloise - Seraing	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Club Brugge - Seraing	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Seraing - Gent	0:5 ✺
18.03.23	Sint-Truidense - Seraing	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Seraing - Royal Antwerp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.04.23	Westerlo - Club Brugge	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Anderlecht - Westerlo	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Westerlo - Charleroi	2:3 ✺
18.03.23	Oostende - Westerlo	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Westerlo - Kortrijk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.10.22	Westerlo - Seraing	2:2
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.03.21	Seraing - Westerlo	1:1
24.01.21	Westerlo - Seraing	4:3
22.11.20	Westerlo - Seraing	1:1
13.09.20	Seraing - Westerlo	0:2

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