Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brusel)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)


	Saint-Gilloise		Seraing

	1	X	2
	1.14	8	17	Watch
	1.16	8.25	17.5
	1.14	8	18
	1.15	8.3	19.41
	1.15	8.1	16.5	Watch
	1.16	7.8	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.12)	8.08 ↓ (8.84)	17.57 ↓ (22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
82.8%

Draw
11.8%

Seraing
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85%

10.7%

4.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	6.2%	18.7%

Saint Gilloise - Seraing Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Seraing will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League).

Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )

Seraing is Relegated to Challenger Pro League

Union SG has the most likely position - 1 (35.11%), project points - 74, currently - 69, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of qualify for ucl (69%), a chance of win league (35%).

Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (99.63%), project points - 20, currently - 19, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 37, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Union SG won 5.

Union SG is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Seraing has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Seraing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Union SG is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Seraing: Bernier A. (Injury) Galje T. (Injury) Tremoulet S. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Union SG won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
UEFA Europa League
13.04.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.04.23	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.03.23	Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTWWW
- RFC Seraing
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.04.23	Club Brugge - Seraing	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Seraing - Gent	0:5 ✺
18.03.23	Sint-Truidense - Seraing	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Seraing - Royal Antwerp	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Cercle Brugge - Seraing	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.10.22	Seraing - Saint-Gilloise	1:2
18.01.22	Seraing - Saint-Gilloise	0:4
16.10.21	Saint-Gilloise - Seraing	4:2
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.04.21	Saint-Gilloise - Seraing	2:0
19.02.21	Seraing - Saint-Gilloise	0:2
29.11.20	Seraing - Saint-Gilloise	1:0
19.09.20	Saint-Gilloise - Seraing	3:2

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