The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seravezza Pozzi 50.2%
Draw 26.6%
Flaminia Civita Castellana 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
21%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
20.1%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seravezza Pozzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seravezza Pozzi's form might have worsened.
Flaminia Civita Castellana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flaminia Civita Castellana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seravezza Pozzi than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seravezza Pozzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flaminia Civita Castellana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Seravezza Pozzi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Flaminia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Flaminia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Seravezza Pozzi is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Seravezza Pozzi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Seravezza Pozzi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2