Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Seravezza Pozzi		Flaminia Civita Castellana

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.50	4.80
	1.68	3.70	3.75
	1.63	3.55	4.59
	1.61	3.84	4.74	Watch
	1.61	3.50	4.50
	1.63	3.94	4.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)	3.67 ↑ (3.35)	4.55 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seravezza Pozzi
55.5%

Draw
24.6%

Flaminia Civita Castellana
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seravezza Pozzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seravezza Pozzi's performance.

Flaminia Civita Castellana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seravezza Pozzi than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Seravezza Pozzi - Flaminia Civita Castellana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th and 6th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Flaminia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Seravezza Pozzi holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Seravezza Pozzi has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1.5:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Seravezza Pozzi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 2:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Seravezza Pozzi	9	4	3	2	16:6	10	15
11	Flaminia	9	3	4	2	11:12	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seravezza Pozzi Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Lucchese	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Siena - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Terranuova Traiana	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Progresso - Seravezza Pozzi	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Montevarchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWT
- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Siena	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Sasso Marconi	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Grassina - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
09.03.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:4
03.11.24	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1
16.04.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:2
04.12.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1

Seravezza Pozzi - Flaminia Civita Castellana