Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Progresso		Seravezza Pozzi

	1	X	2
	3.20	2.95	2.10
	3.10	3.10	2.10
	3.34	3.10	2.04
	3.29	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.30	3.05	2.01
	3.12	3.22	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.98)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)	2.11 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
28%

Draw
29.1%

Seravezza Pozzi
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.4%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Seravezza Pozzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Progresso - Seravezza Pozzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
83', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Seravezza Pozzi has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Seravezza Pozzi has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Seravezza Pozzi is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Progresso has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Progresso against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Seravezza Pozzi	6	3	1	2	14:5	9	10
16	SCD Progresso	6	1	0	5	4:15	-11	3

Last Results with these Odds

Progresso - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Seravezza Pozzi - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.3%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.09.26	Lucchese - Progresso	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Progresso - Scandicci	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Tau Altopascio - Progresso	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.05.26	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Lentigione - Progresso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWLWW
- Seravezza Pozzi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.09.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Montevarchi	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Lucchese	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Scandicci	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
27.03.22	Seravezza Pozzi - Progresso	3:1
07.11.21	Progresso - Seravezza Pozzi	0:1
01.04.21	Progresso - Seravezza Pozzi	1:0
20.01.21	Seravezza Pozzi - Progresso	1:2

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