Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	15:45	ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	04:45	Optus Sport
Austria	20:45	DAZN Austria
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	ESPN
China	02:45	iQIYI
Colombia	13:45	ESPN
Croatia	20:45	SportKlub 5
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	Elisa Viihde, MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	22:45	Silk Universal
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	20:45	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
India	00:15	Sony LIV
Ireland	19:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	21:45	Sport 4
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Mexico	12:45	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Sky HD, Sky Sport
Montenegro	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	06:45	Sky Sport 1
North Central America	—	Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Puerto Rico	14:45	Fox Sports 2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, PrimaPlay, Prima Sport 1
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	20:45	FuboTV, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	02:45	ELTA Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Sport 24 International
Usa	14:45	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, FuboTV
Vietnam	01:45	TV 360
International	18:45	Disney+, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app


	Serbia		Spain

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.57
	5.5	3.9	1.62
	6	4.2	1.58
	6.2	4.12	1.6
	6.04	4.11	1.61	Watch
	7	4.2	1.44
	6.8	4.19	1.58	Watch
	6	4.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.16 ↑ (4.2)	4.12 ↑ (3.5)	1.57 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 2

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Current Win Probability

Serbia
15.6%

Draw
23.3%

Spain
61.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27.2%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serbia's form might have worsened.

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spain's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.8%	3.6%	94.5%

Serbia - Spain Predictions

Users Predictions: Spain will win (104 of 110 users predict this - 94.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.31% – 98.79%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rajkovic P. (G) Al Ittihad 16. Erakovic S. Zenit St Petersburg 4. Milenkovic N. (C) Nottingham 3. Pavlovic S. AC Milan 2. Nedeljkovic K. Aston Villa 17. Ilic I. Torino 10. Lukic S. Fulham 7. Birmancevic V. Sparta Prague 11. Samardzic L. Atalanta 14. Zivkovic A. PAOK 8. Jovic L. AC Milan	1. Raya D. (G) Arsenal 2. Carvajal D. (C) Real Madrid 3. Le Normand R. Atl. Madrid 14. Laporte A. Al Nassr 22. Cucurella M. Chelsea 6. Zubimendi M. Real Sociedad 8. Ruiz F. PSG 10. Olmo D. Barcelona 19. Yamal L. Barcelona 15. Perez A. Villarreal 17. Williams N. Ath Bilbao
Substitutes
22. Aleksic M. Sunderland 6. Babic S. Spartak Moscow 19. Belic K. AZ Alkmaar 20. Grujic M. FC Porto 12. Ilic M. (G) Crvena zvezda 23. Jovanovic A. (G) Partizan 18. Jovanovic D. Partizan 21. Mitrovic S. Verona 9. Ratkov P. Salzburg 5. Simic J. Anderlecht 13. Terzic A. Salzburg	18. Garcia A. Bayer Leverkusen 12. Grimaldo A. Bayer Leverkusen 9. Joselu Al-Gharafa 16. Mingueza O. Celta Vigo 21. Oyarzabal M. Real Sociedad 20. Pedri Barcelona 5. Pepelu Valencia 7. Pino Y. Villarreal 13. Remiro A. (G) Real Sociedad 23. Sanchez R. (G) Chelsea 11. Torres F. Barcelona 4. Torres P. Aston Villa
Coaches
Stojkovic D.	de la Fuente L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Erakovic S. 🟨,
22', Perez A. 🟨,
27', Carvajal D. 🟨,
42', Yamal L. 🟨,
44', Birmancevic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Erakovic S. ↓, Simic J. ↑,
56', Cucurella M. ↓, Grimaldo A. ↑,
56', Perez A. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
59', Le Normand R. 🟨,
62', Zivkovic A. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
67', Olmo D. 🟨,
70', Belic K. 🟨,
74', Samardzic L. ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
74', Jovic L. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
76', Ruiz F. ↓, Pedri ↑,
82', Olmo D. ↓, Joselu ↑,
82', Williams N. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
85', de la Fuente L. 🟨,
85', Ilic I. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,

Preview

In this match Spain is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serbia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serbia
UEFA Euro
25.06.24	Denmark - Serbia	0:0 ✺
20.06.24	Slovenia - Serbia	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Serbia - England	0:1 ✺
Friendly
08.06.24	Sweden - Serbia	0:3 ✺
04.06.24	Austria - Serbia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLWL
- Spain
UEFA Euro
14.07.24	Spain - England	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Spain - France	2:1 ✺
05.07.24	Spain - Germany	2:1 ET ✺
30.06.24	Spain - Georgia	4:1 ✺
24.06.24	Albania - Spain	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
26.05.12	Spain - Serbia	2:0

Serbia - Spain