Match Info

Date: 27 June 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sergipe		Murici

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.85	5
	1.78	3	4.6
	1.79	3.05	4.4
	1.84	3.15	4.92
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.81	3.42	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.73)	3.11 ↓ (3.54)	4.55 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
50.6%

Draw
29.3%

Murici
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

18.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Murici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murici than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murici, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Sergipe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murici is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murici could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sergipe is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sergipe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sergipe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Serie D
20.06.21	Itabaiana - Sergipe	2:1 ✺
13.06.21	Sergipe - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
05.06.21	Bahia de Feira - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
22.05.21	Lagarto - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
15.05.21	Sergipe - Lagarto	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTLW
- Murici FC
Brazilian Serie D
19.06.21	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
12.06.21	Murici - Bahia de Feira	2:0 ✺
06.06.21	Retrô Brasil - Murici	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
05.05.21	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:2 ✺
29.04.21	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Murici	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.06.17	Sergipe - Murici	2:1
03.07.16	Murici - Sergipe	2:1
26.06.16	Sergipe - Murici	3:3

Sergipe - Murici

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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