Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 19

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Serpa		Praiense

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.18	2.9	3.1
	2.48	2.96	3.02
	2.3	3.22	2.93
	2.33	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.01)	3.06 ↓ (3.06)	2.95 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
39.4%

Draw
29.8%

Praiense
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

30%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.

Praiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Praiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Praiense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Praiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Serpa - Praiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Serpa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Praiense will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Serpa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serpa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Serpa	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Serpa - Oriental Dragon	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Rabo de Peixe - Serpa	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Olhanense - Serpa	0:3 ✺
22.01.23	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLWW
- SC Praiense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Praiense - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Juventude de Évora - Praiense	3:2 ✺
29.01.23	Praiense - Esperança de Lagos	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Imortal - Praiense	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Praiense - Ferreiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.11.22	Praiense - Serpa	2:0

Serpa - Praiense