Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 22

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Imortal		Serpa

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.75
	4.5	3.4	1.72
	4	3.3	1.76
	4.7	3.4	1.75
	4.67	3.3	1.73
	4.3	3.35	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.87)	3.34 ↑ (2.93)	1.74 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imortal
20.7%

Draw
27.2%

Serpa
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

31.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

30.5%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imortal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serpa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imortal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Serpa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Imortal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Imortal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imortal DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.02.24	Moncarapachense - Imortal	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Imortal - Real SC	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Louletano - Imortal	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Imortal - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Imortal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTTLW
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.02.24	Elvas - Serpa	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Serpa - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Real SC - Serpa	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Serpa - Louletano	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Setúbal - Serpa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.11.23	Serpa - Imortal	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Imortal - Serpa	1:1
13.11.22	Serpa - Imortal	0:1
09.01.22	Imortal - Serpa	0:4

Imortal - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide