Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Serpa		União de Montemor

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.6
	1.59	3.65	4.9
	1.61	3.83	5.15
	1.59	3.8	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.96)	3.72 ↑ (3.23)	4.94 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
57%

Draw
24.5%

União de Montemor
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

30%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serpa's performance.

União de Montemor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União de Montemor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serpa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Montemor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União de Montemor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Serpa have a series of guest games.

In this match Serpa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serpa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Serpa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.03.22	Juventude de Évora - Serpa	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Moncarapachense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Serpa - Esperança de Lagos	3:1 ✺
13.02.22	Juventude de Évora - Serpa	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Olhanense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.3 LTWLT
- União de Montemor
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.03.22	União de Montemor - Barreirense	2:2 ✺
06.03.22	União de Montemor - Louletano	1:4 ✺
20.02.22	Barreirense - União de Montemor	1:2 ✺
13.02.22	União de Montemor - Esperança de Lagos	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Imortal - União de Montemor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.21	Serpa - União de Montemor	2:1

Serpa - União de Montemor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide