Match Info

Paraibano - Round 2

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Serra Branca		Sousa

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.62	2.82	2.68
	2.75	2.69	2.8
	2.63	2.75	2.63
	2.67	2.66	2.76
	2.8	2.66	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.01)	2.78 ↑ (2.71)	2.69 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra Branca
33.9%

Draw
32.5%

Sousa
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

33.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra Branca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Serra Branca - Sousa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sousa (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sousa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Fuso (G) 23. Bruno 8. David Peninha 9. Gustavo 11. Ian Augusto 13. Luiz 10. Marcelo Toscano 17. Sousa Tibiri 3. Uesles 7. Venicio 4. Victor Ferraz	1. Moises (G) 8. Diego Viana 6. Gilmar 5. Hebert (C) 2. Iranilson 11. Luis Henrique 4. Marcelo 18. Natalicio 25. Veraldo 3. Yan 9. Yan Philippe
Substitutes
12. Allan (G) 20. Amaral 15. Bedeu 22. Bilao 25. Charles 19. Diego Ceara 16. do Nascimento Sousa J. K. 6. Franca 2. Igor 18. Jefferson Victor 5. Junior Dinde 21. Maicon	13. Abraao 7. Aslen Kevin 20. Crystian 26. Gabriel Souza (G) 10. Lucas Zanatelli 21. Mateuzinho 19. Matheus Bambu 15. Nathan 14. Pedro Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Ian Augusto 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Marcelo Toscano ⚽,
22', Victor Ferraz 🟨,
24', Hebert 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Diego Viana ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', David Peninha ↓, Maicon ↑,
46', Victor Ferraz ↓, Igor ↑,
57', Sousa Tibiri ↓, Junior Dinde ↑,
57', Veraldo ↓, Aslen Kevin ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Ian Augusto ⚽,
60', Ian Augusto 🟥,
60', 🟨,
63', Gustavo ↓, Franca ↑,
77', Iranilson ↓, Nathan ↑,
77', Yan ↓, Matheus Bambu ↑,
83', Marcelo Toscano ↓, Diego Ceara ↑,
88', Franca 🟨,
90+1', Luiz 🟨,
90+5', Bruno Fuso 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Serra Branca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Serra Branca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra Branca EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
18.01.26	Serra Branca - Treze	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Serra Branca - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Serra Branca - Maguary	2:1 ✺
18.12.25	Serra Branca - América RN	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
16.03.25	Sousa - Serra Branca	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWWL
- Sousa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
17.01.26	Sousa - Confiança PB	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Pombal - Sousa	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sousa - Potiguar	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Central SC - Sousa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
16.03.25	Sousa - Serra Branca	2:1 penalties
09.03.25	Serra Branca - Sousa	1:1
16.01.25	Sousa - Serra Branca	2:0
28.01.24	Sousa - Serra Branca	1:0
14.01.23	Serra Branca - Sousa	1:2

Serra Branca - Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide