The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Serra Branca 35.5%
Draw 33.2%
Treze 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
32.5%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
31.1%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serra Branca's form might have worsened.
Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serra Branca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Treze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Serra Branca - Treze Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Buba ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Otavio L. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Pedro Maycon ⚽,
Preview
Serra Branca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Treze has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Serra Branca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home match between the teams, Serra Branca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Watch
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