Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Sertãozinho		Marília

	1	X	2
	2.34	2.75	3.25
	2.37	2.82	3.21	Watch
	2.32	2.84	3.17
	2.34	2.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.45)	2.79 ↓ (3.3)	3.22 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
39%

Draw
32.7%

Marília
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marília might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marília could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sertãozinho - Marília Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Wagner Gomes ⚽,
59', 2 - 0, Baggio ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sertãozinho won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sertãozinho won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
26.03.25	Sertãozinho - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Catanduva - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sertãozinho - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Rio Preto - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTTT
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
26.03.25	Marília - União São João	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	União São João - Marília	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Marília - Rio Branco de Americana	3:3 ✺
09.03.25	Francana - Marília	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Marília - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	0:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
13.08.22	Sertãozinho - Marília	1:1
09.07.22	Marília - Sertãozinho	2:0

Sertãozinho - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide