The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sertanense 32.9%
Draw 29.4%
Fatima 37.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.5%
29.5%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertanense's form might have worsened.
Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fatima's recent form is better than expected.
Sertanense - Fatima Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 12th in the Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group (Relegation Group: ) and 10th).
Fatima has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sertanense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Fatima has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sertanense holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sertanense has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.6:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sertanense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.3:0.3 per game).
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