The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sertãozinho 51.9%
Draw 29.6%
Comercial SP 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.6%
22.7%
8.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertãozinho's form might have worsened.
Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comercial SP's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sertãozinho - Comercial SP Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sertãozinho will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
Sertãozinho is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Comercial SP is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Sertãozinho is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Sertãozinho to win the game is with odds 1.62.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sertãozinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Sertãozinho won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3