Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 14

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Rio Preto		Desportivo Brasil

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.1	4.85
	1.75	3.13	4.69
	1.77	3.17	4.73	Watch
	1.75	3	4.75
	1.92	3.04	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	4.71 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
51.1%

Draw
29.5%

Desportivo Brasil
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Desportivo Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Leite A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Marcos Henrique ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Marcos Henrique ⚽,
61', 4 - 0, Ryan ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Rio Preto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Desportivo Brasil is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rio Preto is considered a favorite.

We predict that Rio Preto will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rio Preto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rio Preto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Rio Preto - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Francana - Rio Preto	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Bandeirante - Rio Preto	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Rio Preto - Paulista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW
- Desportivo Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.03.26	Catanduva - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - União Barbarense	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Marília - Desportivo Brasil	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - União São João	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
23.01.25	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Preto	0:1
31.01.24	Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil	0:1

Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide