Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Barca TV, Esport3, FEF TV, Movistar Plus+ 1


	Sestao		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	3
	2.4	2.85	2.8
	2.45	2.95	3
	2.46	2.99	3.09
	2.39	2.94	3.04	Watch
	2.4	3.02	2.99
	2.45	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.85)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	2.99 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
38%

Draw
31.2%

Barcelona B
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

31%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

30.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sestao - Barcelona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Blanco C. 16. Galvez R. 3. Cordero C. 7. Planas A. 6. Gomez A. 15. Bustillo M. 14. Garcia S. 11. Etxaniz J. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. (C)	31. Aller E. (G) 2. Trilli 23. Olmedo A. 14. Cortes A. 27. Cuenca A. 17. Lopez R. 6. Prim P. 20. Fernandez G. 37. Fernandez T. 24. Bikoue 10. Hernandez U. (C)
Substitutes
2. Alvarez J. 9. Aznar D. 12. Barandalla M. 23. Efremov A. 1. Garrido J. (G) 21. Miranda A.	13. Bonfill M. (G) 21. Darvich N. 32. Farre L. 30. Hernandez J. 16. Sanchez E. 39. Soma P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Hernandez U. ⚽,
34', Gomez A. 🟨,
43', Bustillo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽,
55', Etxaniz J. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
55', Garcia S. ↓, Aznar D. ↑,
60', Alvarez J. 🟨,
70', Cortes A. 🟨,
70', Gomez A. ↓, Efremov A. ↑,
71', Cuenca A. 🟨,
77', Herrerin I. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Cordero C. ⚽,
84', Cuenca A. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
87', Planas A. ↓, Barandalla M. ↑,
90', 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Barcelona B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sestao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	Lugo - Sestao	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Sestao - Calahorra	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.09.24	Sestao - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Real Sociedad B - Sestao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWLW
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.24	Tarazona - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Barcelona B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Barcelona B - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	FC Andorra - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.24	Barcelona B - Sestao	2:1
22.10.23	Sestao - Barcelona B	1:3

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