Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		Sestao

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.31	2.97	3.31
	3.97	3.56	1.82	Watch
	2.27	3.04	3.21
	2.14	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.15)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
37%

Draw
30.5%

Sestao
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Unión de Irun's form might have worsened.

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Real Unión de Irun - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Benito A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Garcia J. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Real Unión will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Unión won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Beasain - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Mutilvera	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTWT
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.10.25	Sestao - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alavés B - Sestao	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sestao - Náxara	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ejea - Sestao	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sestao - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.01.25	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
28.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	2:1
13.04.24	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	3:1
03.01.24	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	4:2
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.04.17	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	0:2
19.11.16	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	1:0

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