Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao) 🌤️ ...


	Sestao		Tudelano

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5.15
	1.81	3.29	4.62
	25.00	3.85	1.27	Watch
	1.67	3.42	5.29
	1.74	3.25	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.37 ↑ (1.75)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	4.21 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
22.9%

Draw
42.4%

Tudelano
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

27.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestao's form might have worsened.

Tudelano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tudelano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+30.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tudelano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sestao - Tudelano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Alayeto I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Del Rio A. ⚽,
52', 1 - 2, Alayeto I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 2.

Sestao is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Tudelano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sestao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sestao is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.10.25	Alavés B - Sestao	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sestao - Náxara	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ejea - Sestao	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sestao - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Alfaro - Sestao	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWWT
- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.10.25	Tudelano - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Utebo - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tudelano - Eibar B	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Atlètic Lleida - Tudelano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.05.23	Tudelano - Sestao	0:0
08.01.23	Sestao - Tudelano	2:0
11.01.15	Tudelano - Sestao	2:1
24.08.14	Sestao - Tudelano	2:1
12.01.14	Sestao - Tudelano	1:1
01.09.13	Tudelano - Sestao	1:0
03.03.13	Tudelano - Sestao	1:1

Sestao - Tudelano