Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Sestao

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.6	2.8	2.65
	2.75	2.85	2.7
	2.71	2.91	2.85
	2.68	2.82	2.78	Watch
	2.72	2.8	2.74
	2.75	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.24)	2.83 ↓ (2.85)	2.73 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tarazona
34%

Draw
32.5%

Sestao
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

32.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarazona's form might have worsened.

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarazona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tarazona - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Trilles M. 5. Murria V. 22. Llacer L. 7. Areso J. 12. Cedeno E. 23. Rico M. 11. Martin J. 19. Fuentes A. 9. Cubillas D.	13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Blanco C. 16. Galvez R. 21. Miranda A. 7. Planas A. 6. Gomez A. 15. Bustillo M. 3. Cordero C. 11. Etxaniz J. 10. Martinez Ortiz L.
Substitutes
16. Camero M. 17. Gil I. 3. Martinez Chechu 10. Mena P. 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 15. Rodriguez J. 8. Romero B.	9. Aznar D. 12. Barandalla M. 18. Cordoba A. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 17. Palacin E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Camus S. 🟨,
29', Martinez Ortiz L. 🟨,
38', Bustillo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Areso J. ⚽, Rico M. (A),
67', Cedeno E. 🟨,
70', Cordero C. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
71', Martin J. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
71', Cubillas D. ↓, Martinez Chechu ↑,
80', Planas A. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
80', Etxaniz J. ↓, Aznar D. ↑,
80', Cedeno E. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
80', Areso J. ↓, Mena P. ↑,
89', Fuentes A. ↓, Gil I. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Tarazona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sestao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sestao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tarazona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tarazona won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tarazona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.24	Leonesa - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
02.10.24	Tarazona - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
27.09.24	Tarazona - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Tarazona - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL
- Sestao River
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.24	Sestao - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.10.24	Sestao - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	Lugo - Sestao	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Sestao - Calahorra	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.05.24	Sestao - Tarazona	1:1
29.10.23	Tarazona - Sestao	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.01.23	Tarazona - Sestao	2:1
04.09.22	Sestao - Tarazona	1:0

Upcoming Matches