Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Vado		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.35	4.15
	1.77	3.42	4.25	Watch
	1.73	3.35	4.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	4.28 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vado
51.9%

Draw
26.9%

Sestri Levante
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Vado - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vado won 2.

Vado is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sestri Levante has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sestri Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vado is considered a favorite.

We predict that Vado will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vado won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vado won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sestri Levante	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Sestri Levante - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 22.16%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
15.02.26	Club Milano - Vado	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Vado - Saluzzo	5:0 ✺
01.02.26	Imperia - Vado	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Vado - Celle Varazze	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Derthona - Vado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWW
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.02.26	Sestri Levante - Gozzano	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Club Milano - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sestri Levante - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sestri Levante - Imperia	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Varese - Sestri Levante	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
19.10.25	Sestri Levante - Vado	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Vado - Sestri Levante	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.04.23	Sestri Levante - Vado	2:0
20.11.22	Vado - Sestri Levante	1:2
15.05.22	Vado - Sestri Levante	2:2
23.01.22	Sestri Levante - Vado	2:1
14.04.21	Vado - Sestri Levante	4:3

Upcoming Matches