Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Paços de Ferreira		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	7.5	4	1.4
	6.5	4.1	1.41
	7.5	4.2	1.42
	7.76	4.23	1.44
	7.09	4.08	1.42
	7.5	4.2	1.36
	7.48	4.3	1.43
	7.5	4.2	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.35 ↑ (7.15)	4.16 ↓ (4.36)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
12.5%

Draw
22.2%

Vitoria Guimarães
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

21.1%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

21.3%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jeimes (G) 5. Antunes V. 23. Ferigra E. 3. Diegao 21. Anilson 11. Pavlic I. 6. Joao Caiado 17. Paulo M. 90. Lumungo R. 19. Fonte R. 30. Costinha	27. Charles Silva (G) 76. Gaspar B. 24. Borevkovic T. 3. Villanueva M. 13. Mendes J. 10. Tiago Silva (C) 8. Handel T. 77. Santos N. 20. Samu 11. Kaio Cesar 7. Oliveira N.
Substitutes
36. Balde M. 27. Bazie J. 4. Cardoso G. 2. Icaro 24. Oliveira J. (G) . Pata E. 18. Pedro R. 8. Welton 9. Ze Uilton	18. Arcanjo T. 79. Bica 22. Costa A. 6. Manu 17. Mendes J. 9. Ramirez J. 4. Ribeiro T. 14. Varela B. (G) 28. Ze Carlos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gaspar B. ⚽,
33', Oliveira N. 🟨,
33', Paulo M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Fonte R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Samu ⚽,
54', Handel T. 🟨,
67', Santos N. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
67', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
80', Diegao 🟨,
85', Welton 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Arcanjo T. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paços de Ferreira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guimarães is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 21:31 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
13.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Peniche - Paços de Ferreira	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.24	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWL
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Celje	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.09.24	Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
01.04.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Paços de Ferreira	0:0
08.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1
15.04.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Paços de Ferreira	4:0
04.12.21	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2
21.02.21	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1
02.10.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Paços de Ferreira	1:0
08.03.20	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2

Upcoming Matches