Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Santa Clara		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.72	3.5	5
	1.72	3.68	5.48
	1.7	3.68	5.48
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.69	3.58	5.17
	1.69	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.49 ↓ (3.61)	4.97 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
54.9%

Draw
26.5%

Paços de Ferreira
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

27.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-1%)

Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (G) 42. Lucas Soares 13. Rocha L. 4. Pacheco P. 10. Ricardinho 77. Klismahn G. 20. Adriano Firmino 16. Henrique P. (C) 19. Almeida B. 99. Rafael Martins 70. Vinicius Lopes	12. Jeimes (G) 50. Jojo 23. Ferigra E. 4. Ganchas P. 14. Rocha S. 22. Luiz Carlos (C) 29. Gorby 9. Ze Uilton 8. Welton 77. Cipenga B. 19. Fonte R.
Substitutes
18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 49. Gabriel Silva 32. MT 5. Rafael Santos 30. Safira 21. Semedo Y. 6. Velazquez S.	5. Antunes V. 30. Costinha 10. Djalo M. 2. Icaro 21. Neves A. 24. Oliveira J. (G) 97. Pablo 17. Paulo M. 18. Ribeiro T.
Coaches
Matos V.	Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Jojo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
61', Klismahn G. ↓, Semedo Y. ↑,
61', Rafael Martins ↓, Safira ↑,
65', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
75', Welton ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
78', Pacheco P. 🟨,
81', Adriano Firmino ↓, Ageu E. ↑,
81', Almeida B. ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
84', Fonte R. ↓, Pablo ↑,
84', Ze Uilton ↓, Costinha ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽,
90+2', Cipenga B. ↓, Icaro ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 2.

Recent matches Santa Clara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paços de Ferreira in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
30.03.24	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Benfica B - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
04.03.24	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.02.24	Santa Clara - Porto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTL
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
29.03.24	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Vilaverdense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
26.02.24	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
18.11.23	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	0:2
Liga Portugal
11.03.23	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	1:0
17.09.22	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	1:0
Liga Portugal
08.05.22	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
30.12.21	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	2:1
27.02.21	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	3:0

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