Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Setúbal		Torreense

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2	3.3	3.2
	2.18	3.1	3.05
	2.28	3.13	3.27
	2.17	3.14	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.19 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
42.9%

Draw
28.5%

Torreense
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

18.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Setúbal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torreense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Setúbal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torreense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Setúbal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
09.02.22	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
04.02.22	Caldas - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
30.01.22	Setúbal - Real SC	1:1 ✺
24.01.22	União de Santarém - Setúbal	4:1 ✺
20.01.22	Setúbal - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLW
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 3
04.02.22	Torreense - Oriental Dragon	3:1 ✺
29.01.22	Torreense - Caldas	1:0 ✺
21.01.22	Real SC - Torreense	1:2 ✺
16.01.22	Torreense - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.11.21	Torreense - Setúbal	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.05.21	Torreense - Setúbal	2:0
07.05.21	Setúbal - Torreense	1:2

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