Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 15

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Caldas		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.42	3	3.37
	2.2	3.04	3.16	Watch
	2.24	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.77)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	3.17 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldas
40.7%

Draw
30.5%

Setúbal
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldas's form might have worsened.

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Setúbal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Setúbal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Caldas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Setúbal is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Setúbal have a series of home games.

Caldas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Caldas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Caldas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
14.01.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Oliveira Hospital - Caldas	2:2 ✺
17.12.22	Caldas - Fontinhas	4:2 ✺
03.12.22	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Leiria - Caldas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTWLL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
16.01.23	Setúbal - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.23	Setúbal - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
07.01.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Setúbal	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Setúbal - Leiria	0:3 ✺
03.12.22	Setúbal - Amora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.22	Setúbal - Caldas	1:2
04.02.22	Caldas - Setúbal	2:1
22.12.21	Setúbal - Caldas	2:1

Caldas - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide