Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)

Referee: Planes M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+


	Barcelona		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.12	9.50	11.00
	1.10	7.00	13.00	Watch
	1.11	10.62	15.29
	1.15	8.1	13	Watch
	1.10	9.55	13.00
	1.12	8.78	15.50
	1.10	8.20	14.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.26)	8.82 ↑ (5)	13.54 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
82.7%

Draw
10.5%

Real Madrid
6.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.4%

17.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona's performance.

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barcelona - Real Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Coll C. (G) 23. Camara A. 2. Paredes I. 3. van Asten R. 22. Brugts E. 6. Schertenleib S. 12. Guijarro P. (C) 16. Serrajordi C. 10. Graham C. 17. Pajor E. 9. Pina C.	1. Frohms M. (G) 19. Navarro E. 23. Lakrar M. 22. Andersson B. 4. Cristobal S. 24. Caruso A. 20. Senss E. 17. Jacinto A. 10. del Castillo A. (C) 12. Schroder F. 18. Caicedo L.
Substitutes
31. Baha M. 14. Bonmati A. 27. Dominguez R. 24. Fernandez M. 1. Font G. (G) 21. Julia C. 7. Kerolin 25. McCamey T. (G) 8. Torrejon M.	16. Angeldal F. 11. Beerensteyn L. 2. Bejarano N. 9. Bruun S. 5. Comendador P. 8. Dabritz S. 15. Dorado I. 21. Holmgaard S. 7. Keukelaar L. 3. Levels J. 13. Lopez L. (G) 14. Mendez M.
Coaches
Romeu P.	Quesada P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Pina C. ⚽,
19', Navarro E. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Pina C. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Pina C. ⚽, Guijarro P. (A),
33', 4 - 0, Graham C. ⚽, Pajor E. (A),
45', 5 - 0, Pina C. ⚽, Pajor E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Caruso A. 🟨,
55', 6 - 0, Pajor E. ⚽, Graham C. (A),
56', del Castillo A. ↓, Dorado I. ↑,
57', Caruso A. ↓, Angeldal F. ↑,
60', Pina C. ↓, Bonmati A. ↑,
60', Graham C. ↓, Kerolin ↑,
65', Jacinto A. ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,
65', Schroder F. ↓, Beerensteyn L. ↑,
69', van Asten R. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
74', Senss E. ↓, Mendez M. ↑,
79', Brugts E. ↓, Julia C. ↑,
79', Serrajordi C. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,
88', 7 - 0, Schertenleib S. ⚽, Guijarro P. (A),
90', Caicedo L. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st and 2nd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 5.

Barcelona arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Real Madrid is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Real Madrid may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Barcelona as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona has recorded 19 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 75:10 (averaging 3.8:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barcelona against this opponent, the record stands at 11 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 43:7 goals (averaging 3.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona W	7	6	0	1	29:4	25	18
2	Real Madrid W	7	5	1	1	16:14	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona - the odds 1.26 are the expected chance of winning is 70.42%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona Women
UEFA Champions League Women
30.09.26	Roma - Barcelona	0:6 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
26.09.26	Logroño United - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
23.09.26	Barcelona - Paris FC	5:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
18.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona	0:6 ✺
12.09.26	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW
- Real Madrid Women
UEFA Champions League Women
01.10.26	Manchester City - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
26.09.26	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	3:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
22.09.26	Real Madrid - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
19.09.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
02.04.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	6:0
Spanish Liga F Women
29.03.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	0:3
UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:6
Spanish Copa De La Reina
05.02.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	0:4
Spanish Supercopa Women
24.01.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	2:0
Spanish Liga F Women
15.11.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	4:0
23.03.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	1:3

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