The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevilla B 35.6%
Draw 31.7%
Hércules 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
31.1%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
30.2%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Sevilla B - Hércules Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Flores A. (C) 24. Espineira A. 4. Munoz I. 19. Martinez S. 3. Lopez D. 6. Rivera P. 22. Dasilva L. 7. Sierra M. 10. Collado A. 23. Dominguez I. 17. Sow I.
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 28. Galvan J. 20. Sotillos A. 4. Rentero J. 24. Jimenez J. 8. Mangada C. 6. Colomina R. 11. Ropero U. 23. de Palmas R. 22. Aranda A. 19. Sol F.
Substitutes
8. Altozano E. 15. Bozada J. 42. Ciria A. 9. Costa A. 27. Guillen N. 14. Jalade R. 12. Kpebane T. 25. Luchino L. (G) 20. Raihani A. 1. Romero R. (G) 18. Villar I.
3. Alvarez A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 15. Cantero R. 17. De Leon J. 16. Gomes V. 25. Mompean M. (G) 21. Retu 9. Slavy
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Mangada C. 🟨,
12', Sol F. 🟨,
21', Sierra M. 🟨,
33', Colomina R. ↓, Ben Hamed N. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sotillos A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', Munoz I. 🟨,
68', Ropero U. ↓, Slavy ↑,
78', Dominguez I. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
81', de Palmas R. ↓, Retu ↑,
81', Aranda A. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
82', Costa A. 🟨,
83', Sow I. ↓, Kpebane T. ↑,
87', Collado A. ↓, Guillen N. ↑,
87', Sierra M. ↓, Bozada J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Bozada J. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
Sevilla B is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hércules has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sevilla B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Sevilla B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Hércules - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.53%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.