Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.75
	1.58	3.55	5.7
	1.6	3.73	5.78
	1.22	5.39	13.73	Watch
	1.62	3.51	5.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.13)	3.92 ↑ (2.94)	7.38 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
62.8%

Draw
24.3%

Sevilla B
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eldense's performance.

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eldense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eldense - Sevilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 5. Gaixas A. 3. Smand F. 4. Dumic D. 19. Ibarrondo A. 18. Macho G. 8. Bustillo M. 23. Vallejo J. 22. Nunez R. 9. Dioni 10. Fidel	13. Flores A. (G) 24. Espineira A. 4. Munoz I. 19. Martinez S. 3. Lopez D. 6. Rivera P. 22. Dasilva L. 7. Sierra M. 10. Collado A. 17. Sow B. 9. Costa A.
Substitutes
11. Bellari H. . Billups B. 20. Ibanez R. 26. Jimenez C. 12. Molina M. 7. Quintana Nacho 21. Ruiz D. 2. Serradell A. G. 13. Valencia P. (G)	8. Altozano E. 15. Bozada J. 42. Ciria A. 21. Cortez J. 27. Guillen N. 14. Jalade R. 25. Luchino L. (G) 2. Moreno J. 20. Raihani A. 1. Romero R. (G) 18. Villar I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Dioni ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sow B. ↓, Ciria A. ↑,
54', Lopez D. 🟨,
65', Rivera P. ↓, Altozano E. ↑,
65', Collado A. ↓, Raihani A. ↑,
65', Vallejo J. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
65', Macho G. ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
65', Dioni ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
70', Martinez S. 🟨,
76', Espineira A. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', Lopez D. ↓, Villar I. ↑,

Preview

Eldense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sevilla B has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Eldense has had a series of away games.

In this match, Eldense is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.09.25	Teruel - Eldense	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Eldense - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sabadell - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	Cartagena - Eldense	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Intercity - Eldense	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTL?
- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.09.25	Sevilla B - Betis B	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	CE Europa - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sevilla B - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.25	Xerez CD - Sevilla B	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Xerez Deportivo - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLL

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