Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Real Murcia		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.1	8
	1.46	3.7	6.25
	1.47	3.75	7.1
	1.49	4.05	6.77
	1.84	2.92	5.26	Watch
	1.55	3.26	8.4
	1.44	3.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.94)	3.48 ↑ (3.04)	6.94 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
60.2%

Draw
26.5%

Sevilla B
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Real Murcia - Sevilla B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sevilla B will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sevilla B (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Murcia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 3 - 75%). Sevilla B (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 4. Lopez A. 2. Mier J. 6. Gonzalez A. 18. Vicente D. 3. Romero C. 22. Juan Carlos 31. Djanbou S. 20. Zenitagoia E. 7. Moyita S. 23. Bosilj D.	13. Flores A. (G) 4. Munoz I. 12. Kpebane T. 19. Martinez S. 2. Moreno J. 3. Lopez D. 27. Guillen N. 6. Rivera P. 20. Raihani A. 7. Sierra M. 9. Costa A.
Substitutes
32. Adebayo K. 16. Antonio David 9. Benito P. A. P. 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 10. Gomez I. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 14. Leon P. 19. Matheus Cadorini 26. Perez H. 29. Sarabia A.	8. Altozano E. 15. Bozada J. 42. Ciria A. 10. Collado A. 21. Cortez J. 30. Di Massimo M. 14. Jalade R. 35. Mendez T. 1. Romero R. (G) 17. Sow B. 18. Villar I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Munoz I. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Sierra M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Juan Carlos ↓, Joao Pedro Palmberg ↑,
54', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro Palmberg ⚽,
63', Moyita S. 🟨,
78', Vicente D. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
84', Costa A. ↓, Jalade R. ↑,
86', Romero C. ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
86', Moyita S. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
88', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
90+4', Sierra M. ↓, Bozada J. ↑,
90+5', Lopez D. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1.

Recent performances by Murcia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sevilla B is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Murcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Algeciras - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Real Murcia - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Real Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Real Murcia - Elche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTTWW
- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Sevilla B - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Eldense - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sevilla B - Betis B	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	CE Europa - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sevilla B - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.02.25	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	0:2
25.08.24	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.01.21	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	1:1
01.11.20	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	1:1
04.01.20	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	2:2
19.05.19	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	2:0
07.01.19	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	0:0

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