Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 11

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Sfera U20		Grêmio Prudente U20

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.40	3.25
	1.75	3.60	3.75
	1.98	3.49	3
	2	3.6	3.18	Watch
	1.94	3.4	2.9
	2.01	3.38	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.5)	3.48 ↑ (3.15)	3.22 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sfera U20
46.4%

Draw
25.8%

Grêmio Prudente U20
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfera U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sfera U20's performance.

Grêmio Prudente U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Prudente U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfera U20 than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sfera U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Prudente U20 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Prudente U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sfera U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent performances by Sfera U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grêmio Prudente U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Grêmio Prudente U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sfera U20 could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sfera FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
14.08.26	Referência U20 - Sfera U20	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Sfera U20 - XV de Jaú U20	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Água Santa U20 - Sfera U20	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Sfera U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Tanabi U20 - Sfera U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW
- Grêmio Prudente U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
25.08.26	Grêmio Osasco Audax U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	2:2 ✺
18.08.26	Grêmio Prudente U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	1:3 ✺
06.08.26	Grêmio Prudente U20 - Capivariano U20	0:3 ✺
31.07.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Grêmio Prudente U20 - XV de Jaú U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLT

Sfera U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide