Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Weinan Sports Center Stadium (Weinan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Shaanxi Union		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.1
	2.9	3.65	2.23
	2.82	3.55	2.27
	2.84	3.32	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.83	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.65	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.71)	3.54 ↓ (4.62)	2.23 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Union
32.6%

Draw
26%

Wuhan Three Towns
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

20.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

19.6%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Union's performance.

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan Three Towns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shaanxi Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan Three Towns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Shaanxi Union - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shaanxi Union will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Zhong Jinbao ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Aniwar Abduwahap ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Darfalou O. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Shaanxi Union has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wuhan Three Towns has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shaanxi Union may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wuhan Three Towns is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Shaanxi Union - Nantong Zhiyun	3:2 ✺
11.05.25	Yanbian Longding - Shaanxi Union	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
22.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
11.05.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
05.05.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan Three Towns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWWL

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