The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wuhan Three Towns 32.7%
Draw 25.4%
Shanghai Port 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
25.6%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
24.7%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wuhan Three Towns's performance.
Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
12.5%
50%
Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Port: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Fang Jingqi (G) 23. Ming Tian 2. He Guan (C) 11. Li Ang 4. Xu Haofeng 18. Zhang Xiaobin 50. Leautey A. 20. Adriano Firmino 7. Gustavo Sauer 29. Cadiz J. 10. Bevis K.
1. Yan Junling (G) 22. Yang A. 13. Wei Zhen 40. Yusup Umidjan 28. Yue Xin 23. Fu Huan 10. Mateus Vital 45. Leonardo 21. Melendo O. 17. Ampem P. O. 7. Wu Lei (C)
Substitutes
15. Chen Zhechao 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 12. Liao Chengjian 5. Li Shenyuan 33. Liu Binbin 19. Liu Yiming 6. Long Wei 16. Min Zixi 8. Wang Jinxian 21. Xiong J. 9. Zheng Haoqian 13. Zheng Kaimu
3. Browning Tyias 12. Chen Wei (G) 8. Jean Claude 47. Kuai Jiwen 32. Li Shuai 33. Liu Zhurun 49. Li X. 38. Lu Yongtao 14. Orr M. 4. Wang Shenchao 19. Wang Zhenao 5. Zhang Linpeng
Coaches
Soares R.
Muscat K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Cadiz J. ⚽, Bevis K. (A),
12', Yusup Umidjan 🟨,
42', Fu Huan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Yue Xin ↓, Li Shuai ↑,
46', Zhang Xiaobin 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Wei Zhen ⚽, Mateus Vital (A),
55', 1 - 2, Ampem P. O. ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, Ampem P. O. ⚽, Melendo O. (A),
63', Leonardo 🟨,
64', Yusup Umidjan ↓, Browning Tyias ↑,
65', Fu Huan ↓, Jean Claude ↑,
66', Li Ang 🟨,
66', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Xiong J. ↑,
66', Ming Tian ↓, Chen Zhechao ↑,
69', Wu Lei ↓, Liu Zhurun ↑,
71', Leautey A. 🟨,
75', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Long Wei ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Leautey A. ⚽, Long Wei (A),
84', Leonardo ↓, Zhang Linpeng ↑,
88', Xu Haofeng ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 0.
Recent performances by Wuhan Three Towns have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shanghai Port is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Wuhan Three Towns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Shanghai Port will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Yamkam M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Shanghai Port: Ferreira M.
(Inactive)
Gabrielzinho
(Knee Injury)
Grau J.
(Inactive)
Jean Claude
(Illness)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.8:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).