Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Shabab Al-Ghazieh		Bourj

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.95	2.05
	3.45	2.9	2.14	Watch
	3.45	2.91	2.12
	3.45	3.01	2.14	Watch
	3.45	3.02	2.09	Watch
	3.45	2.9	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.46)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	2.11 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ghazieh
26.4%

Draw
30.7%

Bourj
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

29.9%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Shabab Al-Ghazieh have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bourj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ghazieh than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourj than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Shabab Al Ghazieh - Bourj Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)
57', 0 - 1, Atriss Y. ⚽,
58', 0 - 2, Sani I. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Diaw A. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Atriss Y. ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, Shaito H. ⚽,

Preview

Al-Ghazieh is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bourj is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Bourj have a series of home games.

Bourj will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ghazieh
Lebanese Premier League
18.04.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Racing Beirut	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL
- Bourj FC
Lebanese Premier League
19.04.25	Bourj - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Bourj - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Bourj - Nejmeh	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
15.03.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1
12.08.23	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	4:0
05.03.23	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	3:2
28.01.23	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Bourj	0:1
17.09.22	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Bourj	0:2

Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Bourj: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide