Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Shabab Al Sahel		Shabab Baalbeck

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.7
	1.68	4.05	3.7	Watch
	1.66	4.1	3.62
	1.7	3.84	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.58)	3.97 ↓ (4.22)	3.76 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al Sahel
53.5%

Draw
22.6%

Shabab Baalbeck
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

21.1%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

20.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Shabab Baalbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Baalbeck than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Baalbeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Salami H. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Siblini M. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, Siblini M. ⚽,
74', 4 - 1, Sajid A. ⚽,
83', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Shabab Al Sahel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al Sahel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabab Al Sahel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
30.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:3 ✺
25.06.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Abbassieh	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Racing Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Shabab Baalbeck
Lebanese Premier League
01.07.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj	0:3 ✺
25.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Racing Beirut	1:0 ✺
19.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Baalbeck	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Baalbeck	0:3 ✺
08.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
08.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2
06.05.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Baalbeck	3:1
12.02.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Baalbeck	5:0

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