Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 14

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Shabab Al-Ghazieh		Shabab Al Sahel

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.78	Watch
	3.41	3.94	1.78
	3.58	3.54	1.86	Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)	3.72 ↑ (3.53)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ghazieh
26%

Draw
24.1%

Shabab Al Sahel
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

25.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

24.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ghazieh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Shabab Al Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ghazieh than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Siblini M. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, (Own goal),
43', 0 - 3, Salami H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ghazieh won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Shabab Al Sahel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:22. (average 0.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ghazieh won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ghazieh
Lebanese Premier League
26.06.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0 ✺
19.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Baalbeck	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Racing Beirut - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	0:4 ✺
07.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
02.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LLWTT
- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
25.06.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Abbassieh	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Racing Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
02.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
02.06.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:1
30.04.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	4:0
03.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0
27.04.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2
17.03.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0
04.02.24	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	4:0
03.11.23	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2

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