Match Info

LEBANON: Premier League - Losers stage - Round 14

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Shabab Al Sahel		Tripoli

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.6	3.4	2.2
	2.79	3.23	2.42	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.79)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)	2.29 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al Sahel
33.9%

Draw
26.7%

Tripoli
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

28.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tripoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tripoli than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Shabab Al Sahel - Tripoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Abu Zama S. A. S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tripoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tripoli have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Shabab Al Sahel won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Shabab Al Sahel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
09.05.24	Shabab Al Sahel - Al Ahli Nabatiya	5:0 ✺
04.05.24	Shabab Al Sahel - Hekmeh	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Tadamon Sour - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Shabab Al Sahel - Al Ahli Nabatiya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWTL
- Tripoli SC
Lebanese Premier League
09.05.24	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	0:1 ✺
25.04.24	Hekmeh - Tripoli	1:0 ✺
Lebanese Cup
20.04.24	Al Ahli Nabatiya - Tripoli	0:1 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
13.04.24	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Tadamon Sour - Tripoli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
25.02.24	Tripoli - Shabab Al Sahel	0:1
13.08.23	Tripoli - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0
Lebanese Federation Cup
01.07.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Tripoli	0:0
Lebanese Premier League
23.10.22	Tripoli - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0

Shabab Al Sahel - Tripoli