Match Info

LEBANON: Premier League - Round 8

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Shabab Baalbeck		Al-Ahed

	1	X	2
	26	7.25	1.1
				Watch
	20.71	7.92	1.08
				Watch
	15	6	1.14
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.57 ↑ (7.27)	7.06 ↑ (5)	1.11 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Baalbeck
4.4%

Draw
13%

Al-Ahed
82.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.4%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Baalbeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shabab Baalbeck's form might have worsened.

Al-Ahed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahed's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Baalbeck than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Baalbeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahed, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shabab Baalbeck - Al Ahed Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mouma ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Zbib M. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Mansour N. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).

Recent matches Shabab Baalbeck is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Ahed is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Ahed could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Al-Ahed have a series of home games.

In this match Al-Ahed is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Baalbeck
Lebanese Premier League
26.02.25	Nejmeh - Shabab Baalbeck	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Baalbeck	5:0 ✺
07.02.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
31.01.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Racing Beirut	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTW
- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
25.02.25	Al-Ahed - Al-Ansar Beirut	2:4 ✺
18.02.25	Al-Ahed - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:0 ✺
13.02.25	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	4:0 ✺
07.02.25	Al-Ahed - Hekmeh	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Al-Ahed - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWWW

Shabab Baalbeck - Al-Ahed: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide