Match Info

LEBANON: Premier League - Round 9

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Shabab Baalbeck		Hekmeh

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.88
	3.55	3.15	1.98
	4.02	3.6	1.72
	4	3.6	1.79	Watch
	3.52	3.13	2.02	Watch
	3.55	3.15	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.91)	3.34 ↑ (3.29)	1.9 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Baalbeck
24.8%

Draw
27.2%

Hekmeh
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.8%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

25.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Baalbeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shabab Baalbeck's form might have worsened.

Hekmeh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hekmeh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Baalbeck than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Baalbeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hekmeh than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hekmeh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shabab Baalbeck - Hekmeh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Abou Fakher D. ⚽,
45+8', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Baalbeck
Lebanese Premier League
02.03.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Al-Ahed	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Nejmeh - Shabab Baalbeck	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Baalbeck	5:0 ✺
07.02.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
31.01.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Racing Beirut	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT
- Hekmeh FC
Lebanese Premier League
03.03.25	Hekmeh - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:3 ✺
25.02.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Hekmeh	3:0 ✺
19.02.25	Hekmeh - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
13.02.25	Hekmeh - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Al-Ahed - Hekmeh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTWL

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