Match Info

I Liqa - Round 20

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Shahdag Qusar		Shimal

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.35	5.9	Watch
	1.38	4.57	6.1
	1.24	6.26	7.96	Watch
	1.4	4	5.75
	1.43	4.59	6.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	4.75 ↑ (4.45)	6.37 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahdag Qusar
66.5%

Draw
19.2%

Shimal
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.2%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahdag Qusar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Shimal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Shahdag Qusar - Shimal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Shimal has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shahdag is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shahdag won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Shahdag won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sahdag Qusar	4	4	0	0	13:1	12	12
9	Shimal	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan First Division
18.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Shahdag Qusar - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWW
- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
19.03.26	Shimal - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Shimal - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Zagatala - Shimal	3:4 ✺
24.02.26	Shimal - Cəbrayıl	3:2 ✺
19.02.26	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
19.02.26	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	0:1
06.11.25	Shahdag Qusar - Shimal	4:2
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	0:2 ET

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