Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 31

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday


	Shahrdari Hamedan		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.6	2.1
	4.18	2.48	2.13
	4.05	2.86	2.04
	3.9	2.7	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.46)	2.66 ↑ (2.63)	2.1 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahrdari Hamedan
22.9%

Draw
34%

Fajr Sepasi
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

34%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

32.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahrdari Hamedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Hamedan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3).

Shahrdari Hamedan is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fajr Sepasi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fajr Sepasi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shahrdari Hamedan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahrdari Hamedan
Iran Division 1
22.04.23	Shahrdari Astara - Shahrdari Hamedan	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Arman Gohar - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0 ✺
05.04.23	Shahrdari Hamedan - Darya Babol	0:0 ✺
30.03.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Hamedan	1:1 ✺
16.03.23	Shahrdari Hamedan - Khoosheh Talai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTTL
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
22.04.23	Fajr Sepasi - Darya Babol	4:1 ✺
15.04.23	Khoosheh Talai - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal Molasani	1:2 ✺
29.03.23	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Fajr Sepasi	0:4 ✺
16.03.23	Fajr Sepasi - Chooka Talesh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
18.11.22	Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0

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