Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 4
Bolivia	12:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Colombia	11:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	18:45	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	11:45	ESPN 2
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	19:45	MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	18:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	16:45	SÝN Sport Viaplay
Israel	19:45	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	18:45	Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	22:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	18:45	ART Sport 1
Malta	18:45	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	10:45	FOX One
Moldova	19:45	We Sport
Mongolia	00:45	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play
Paraguay	12:45	ESPN 2
Peru	11:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	18:45	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Turkey	19:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	17:45	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2


	PSV Eindhoven		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.5
	1.50	4.75	5.75
	1.52	4.5	6.1
	1.51	4.85	6.4
	1.53	4.73	6.05	Watch
	1.5	4.7	6.35
	1.54	4.88	5.65
	1.53	5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)	4.77 ↓ (4.95)	5.93 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
63.5%

Draw
20.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.2%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

18.2%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	10.4%	2.1%

PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - PSV (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - PSV (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 95%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - PSV (1.50) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Corners O/U 9.5 - over (1.90) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 96.86%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSV Eindhoven will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 2. Geertruida L. 4. Obispo A. 18. Kostic F. 20. Til G. 24. Sano K. 10. Wanner P. 5. Perisic I. (C) 9. Pepi R. 7. van Bommel R.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matvienko M. (C) 13. Pedro Henrique 30. Alisson 6. Marlon Gomes 27. Ocheretko O. 77. Mendoza G. 9. Kaua Elias 14. Isaque Silva
Substitutes
19. Bajraktarevic E. 37. Bouhamdi A. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 27. Man D. 38. Merien F. 21. Mijnans S. 1. Olij N. (G) 35. Santos A. 51. Smolenaars T. (G)	16. Azarovi I. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 25. Gabriel Carvalho 18. Ghram A. 20. Karavaev O. 8. Kryskiv D. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 29. Nazaryna Y. 11. Newerton 2. Traore L. 24. Tsukanov V.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Tobias V. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Mendoza G. ⚽, Isaque Silva (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Mendoza G. 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Dest S. ⚽, Obispo A. (A),
55', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
56', Obispo A. 🟨,
63', Bondar V. 🟨,
65', van Bommel R. 🟨,
66', Kaua Elias ↓, Traore L. ↑,
66', Mendoza G. ↓, Newerton ↑,
68', Kostic F. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
81', Dest S. 🟨,
83', Pepi R. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
87', Turan A. 🟨,
89', Alisson ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
89', Isaque Silva ↓, Kryskiv D. ↑,
89', Kryskiv D. 🟨,
90+1', Marlon Gomes 🟨,

Preview

PSV is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shakhtar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, PSV is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in PSV: Bro Hansen M. (Injury) Lammers S. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mauro Junior (Red Card) Nagalo A. (Off the roster) Ouaissa S. (Muscle Injury) Plea A. (Injury) Schouten J. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Injury)

There will not play in Shakhtar: Fesyun K. (Illness) Korniyenko V. (Off the roster) Marlon Gomes (Muscle Injury) Obah P. (Off the roster) Pedrinho (Injury) Puzankov T. (Off the roster) Shved M. (Off the roster) Tvardovskyi D. (Off the roster)

We predict that PSV will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, PSV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Including home match between the teams, PSV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	1	1	1	4:3	1	4
18	PSV	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

PSV: 0.47%

Last Results with these Odds

PSV Eindhoven - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.32%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
05.09.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:6 ✺
23.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
05.09.26	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kudrivka	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:2

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