Match Info

First League - Round 24

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Shakhter Karagandy		Akademiya Ontustik

	1	X	2
	1.22	7.00	7.70	Watch
	1.15	6.31	10.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.23)	6.66 ↑ (5.35)	9.05 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
76.4%

Draw
13.6%

Akademiya Ontustik
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.2%

16.8%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

The chances for Akademiya Ontustik have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Asanbek S. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Litosh A. ⚽, Beloborodyi R. (A),
79', 2 - 0, Litosh A. ⚽,
90+3', Anwar A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premier League and 4th).

Shakhter Karagandy is Qualified for Premier League.

Shakhter Karagandy has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Akademiya Ontustik is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Shakhter Karagandy has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy	26	21	2	3	68:12	56	65
4	Akademiya Ontustik	26	13	4	9	36:32	4	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
17.09.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Taraz	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Jaiyq - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Khan Tengri	4:0 ✺
21.08.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana 2	4:0 ✺
13.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWWW
- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
17.09.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Jaiyq	0:0 ✺
10.09.26	Yelimay 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1 ✺
03.09.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Aktobe 2	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:2 ✺
13.08.26	Kairat 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
02.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2
25.09.25	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2

Shakhter Karagandy - Akademiya Ontustik