Match Info

First League - Round 22

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Yelimay 2		Akademiya Ontustik

	1	X	2
	5.9	3.75	1.45
	6.29	4.05	1.46	Watch
	5.9	3.75	1.46
	6.77	3.95	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.22 ↓ (6.29)	3.88 ↓ (4.05)	1.45 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay 2
14.5%

Draw
23.3%

Akademiya Ontustik
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.6%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

21.6%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Akademiya Ontustik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akademiya Ontustik than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Abdukakhharov E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Yelimay 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Akademiya Ontustik is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Akademiya Ontustik is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yelimay 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Yelimay 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Akademiya Ontustik	23	13	4	6	36:27	9	43
14	Yelimay Semey 2 ✔	23	3	3	17	17:47	-30	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey 2
Kazakh First League
04.09.26	Jaiyq - Yelimay 2	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Yelimay 2 - Aktobe 2	2:5 ✺
14.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Yelimay 2 - Kairat 2	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 50 LLLWL
- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
03.09.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Aktobe 2	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:2 ✺
13.08.26	Kairat 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Khan Tengri	3:1 ✺
30.07.26	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
18.06.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Yelimay 2	1:1

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