Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Šachtër Stadion (Karagandy)

Referee: Kumashev T. (Kaz)


	Shakhter Karagandy		Aksu

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.1
	1.93	3.23	3.52
	2	3.2	3.4
	1.97	3.46	3.6
	2.1	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.16)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)	3.36 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
45.4%

Draw
27.6%

Aksu
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Aksu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksu than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Shakhter Karagandy - Aksu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Shakhter Karagandy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aksu is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shakhter Karagandy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shakhter Karagandy have a series of guest games.

Shakhter Karagandy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhter Karagandy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Cup
17.05.23	Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
13.05.23	Atyrau - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.23	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	0:5 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
23.04.23	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWT
- FC Aksu
Kazakh Premier League
13.05.23	Aksu - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Aktobe - Aksu	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
30.04.23	Aksu - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
23.04.23	Atyrau - Aksu	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.04.23	Tobol Kostanay - Aksu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
12.07.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Aksu	4:2
25.06.22	Aksu - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1

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