Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: KAZAKHSTAN CUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)


	Tobol Kostanay		Aksu

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.25	2.91	2.86
	2.28	3.2	3.08
	1.92	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.67)	3.13 ↓ (3.47)	3.15 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
42.2%

Draw
29%

Aksu
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

25.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tobol Kostanay's form might have worsened.

Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aksu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksu than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aksu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Tobol Kostanay - Aksu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Aksu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Tobol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aksu is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tobol is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tobol won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tobol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
16.04.23	Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay	4:1 ✺
09.04.23	Tobol Kostanay - Astana	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Zhetysu - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
10.03.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Tobol Kostanay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWW
- FC Aksu
Kazakh Premier League
16.04.23	Aksu - Kyzylzhar	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Okzhetpes - Aksu	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Aksu - Makhtaaral	2:1 ✺
14.03.23	Kaisar - Aksu	2:2 ✺
09.03.23	Aksu - Kairat	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
04.03.23	Tobol Kostanay - Aksu	3:1
08.10.22	Aksu - Tobol Kostanay	3:0
07.05.22	Tobol Kostanay - Aksu	2:0
Kazakh Cup
10.04.19	Aksu - Tobol Kostanay	0:3

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