Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: KAZAKHSTAN CUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)

Referee: Nurmustafina E. (Kaz)


	Okzhetpes		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	2.24	3.42	2.98
	2.23	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.97)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	2.94 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
41.1%

Draw
27.6%

Shakhter Karagandy
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

25.9%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

25.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okzhetpes won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Okzhetpes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Okzhetpes won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Okzhetpes won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
23.04.23	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.04.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.04.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Okzhetpes - Aksu	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLLWW
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Premier League
23.04.23	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.04.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.04.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Makhtaaral	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Kaisar - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
23.04.23	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1
Kazakh Cup
19.04.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
04.11.20	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:1
29.08.20	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1
26.10.19	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:2
20.07.19	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	1:0
05.05.19	Okzhetpes - Shakhter Karagandy	2:2

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