The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tobol Kostanay 72.1%
Draw 18%
Shakhter Karagandy 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.5%
20%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.7%
19.1%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tobol Kostanay's performance.
Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+4%)
Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pokatilov S. (G) 15. Gabaraev A. 55. Miladinovic I. 5. Ndiaye P. 3. Asrankulov R. 6. Essien E. 13. Mosiashvili T. 8. El Messaoudi A. 10. Ivanovic I. 77. Henen D. 11. Chesnokov I.
40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 4. Ryzhuk D. 5. Stamenkovic F. 33. Adams L. 17. Lisakovich D. 21. Ilic J. 88. Canas R. 60. Campo F. 19. Kozlov E. 97. Djokic M. 11. Abdulla A.
Substitutes
4. Abdulla E. 25. Bozhko R. 12. Busurmanov S. (G) 20. Costa R. 51. Galym B. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 99. Pedro Eugenio 16. Tapalov E. 21. Tsonev R. 7. Zhumashev Z. 18. Zuev A.
18. Altynkhan A. 10. Ashortia I. 7. Drachenko M. 16. Kybyray Y. 68. Migunov A. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 6. Nikolic M. 1. Shabanov A. (G) 23. Tutkyshev R. 44. Tyulyubay A. 27. Zubaydilda S.
Coaches
Zhumaskaliev N.
Emeljanov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ryzhuk D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Djokic M. 🟨,
58', Kozlov E. ↓, Ashortia I. ↑,
62', Mosiashvili T. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
68', Canas R. 🟨,
72', Ivanovic I. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
72', Henen D. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
74', Abdulla A. ↓, Nazymkhanov A. ↑,
75', Ilic J. 🟨,
79', Chesnokov I. (Pen),
85', Stamenkovic F. ↓, Nikolic M. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Zuev A. ⚽,
90+2', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Bozhko R. ↑,
90+2', Adams L. 🟨,
90+3', Tapalov E. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tobol won 2.
Recent matches Tobol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Shakhter Karagandy has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Tobol is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Tobol won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Tobol won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-7.
Kazakhstan
World
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Pokatilov S. (G) 
Gabaraev A. 
Miladinovic I. 
Ndiaye P. 
Essien E. 
Mosiashvili T. 
El Messaoudi A. 
Henen D. 
Ryzhuk D. 
Lisakovich D. 
Ilic J. 
Canas R. 
Costa R. 
Tsonev R. 
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