Match Info

First League - Round 12

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	Akademiya Ontustik		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	5.90	4.45	1.40
	5.44	4.52	1.45	Watch
	5.55	4.20	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.63 ↑ (5.44)	4.39 ↓ (4.52)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Akademiya Ontustik
15.9%

Draw
20.4%

Shakhter Karagandy
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

20.2%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

19.3%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akademiya Ontustik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akademiya Ontustik than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Galkin M. ⚽, Litosh A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Ali A. ⚽, Niyazkulov B. (A),
90', 1 - 2, Litosh A. ⚽, Ulshin A. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Akademiya Ontustik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Akademiya Ontustik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	24	21	2	1	66:8	58	65
4	Akademiya Ontustik	24	13	4	7	36:29	7	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
25.06.26	Jaiyq - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1 ✺
18.06.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Yelimay 2	1:1 ✺
11.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:4 ✺
26.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWT
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Jaiyq	3:0 ✺
12.06.26	Khan Tengri - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Astana 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
25.09.25	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2

Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide