Match Info

First League - Round 25

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.95	3.25
	1.76	4.26	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	4.11 ↓ (4.26)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
50.9%

Draw
22.1%

Shakhter Karagandy
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Pasechenko A. (C) 21. Aripov D. 2. Aslan R. 91. Aytbaev B. 10. Baytana B. 7. Kabylan B. 23. Kozhamberdy Z. 22. Kurbanov T. 14. Serikbay A. 13. Serikbay M. 71. Turlybek M.	55. Kilzhiev N. (G) 18. Altynkhan A. 27. Dilmurat M. 11. Galkin M. 66. Israilov A. 26. Litosh A. 12. Mukhametzhanov U. 7. Nusip A. 44. Rudoselskiy T. (C) 15. Savkiv B. 4. Zubaydilda S.
Substitutes
9. Armenov A. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 60. Kaldybay B. (G) 47. Konlimkos B. 11. Nurgaliyev E. 28. Oralbay E. 8. Raskatov V. 17. Shamshi S. 5. Taipov K. 19. Taykenov M. 50. Zholaman M. 48. Zhumabay E.	22. Asylbaev R. 21. Dilmurat M. 19. Kairkenov Z. 25. Kholod M. 20. Komikov M. 42. Maratov A. (G) 16. Nurgaliev N. (G) 17. Saidov E. 36. Shymyrkhan S. 29. Takhanov D. 3. Zaynetdinov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Kabylan B. ⚽, Turlybek M. (A),
31', Zubaydilda S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Nusip A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Baytana B. ↓, Konlimkos B. ↑,
46', Aripov D. ↓, Taykenov M. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Litosh A. ⚽,
53', 2 - 2, Turlybek M. ⚽,
57', Altynkhan A. ↓, Shymyrkhan S. ↑,
65', Serikbay M. 🟨,
68', Kozhamberdy Z. ↓, Shamshi S. ↑,
68', Kabylan B. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
81', Turlybek M. ↓, Armenov A. ↑,
81', Dilmurat M. ↓, Saidov E. ↑,
82', Mukhametzhanov U. ↓, Kairkenov Z. ↑,
82', Litosh A. ↓, Komikov M. ↑,
90', Nusip A. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Nurgaliyev E. ⚽, Konlimkos B. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4).

Kaspiy Aktau is Qualified for Premier League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 3.

Kaspiy Aktau could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Kaspiy Aktau will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy Aktau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh First League
03.10.25	Kairat 2 - Kaspiy Aktau	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe 2	3:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Ertis Pavlodar	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Kaspiy Aktau - SD Family	10:0 ✺
07.08.25	Altai Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
03.10.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Taraz	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	AKAS - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1 ✺
14.08.25	Aktobe 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	2:2 ✺
08.08.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
11.07.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:3
Kazakh Premier League
23.07.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
27.05.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1
15.09.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1
27.04.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	4:0
16.10.21	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
19.05.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	3:0

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