Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Stan Sport
Cyprus	RIK 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 17
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 17, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 1 ROI, Premier Sports 2 ROI, TNT Sports 5
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Shamrock Rovers		APOEL

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.85
	3.9	3.2	1.88
	4.3	3.3	1.9
	4.62	3.34	1.93
	3.92	3.38	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	4.48	3.51	1.89
	4.3	3.3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.92)	3.35 ↓ (3.35)	1.91 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
22.7%

Draw
28%

APOEL
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

27.9%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

28.9%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	29.4%	58.8%

Shamrock Rovers - APOEL Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). APOEL will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for APOEL: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pohls L. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 2. Honohan J. 19. Poom M. 16. O'Neill G. 23. Farrugia N. 22. Mandroiu D. 15. Nugent D. 24. Kenny J.	27. Belec V. (C) 16. Susic M. 3. Petrovic R. 34. Laifis K. 19. Quintilla X. 70. Kostadinov G. 17. Abagna D. 77. Ndongala D. 8. Tejera S. 10. Marquinhos 9. El Arabi Y.
Substitutes
21. Burns D. 29. Byrne J. 32. Dillon C. 9. Greene A. 3. Hoare S. 11. Kavanagh S. 8. McEneff A. 34. Noonan C. 27. O'Sullivan C. 25. Steacy L. (G) 17. Towell R. 7. Watts D.	12. Bah A. 29. Chebake I. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 30. Corbu M. 5. Dvali L. 23. Kattirtzis P. 7. Meyer M. 78. Michos S. (G) 35. Polykarpou P. 18. Satsias G.
Coaches
Bradley S.	Dominguez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Abagna D. 🟨,
42', Farrugia N. 🟨,
42', Quintilla X. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Farrugia N. 🟨,
54', Poom M. ↓, O'Sullivan C. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Laifis K. ⚽,
61', Abagna D. ↓, Kattirtzis P. ↑,
65', O'Neill G. ↓, Towell R. ↑,
72', Susic M. ↓, Chebake I. ↑,
72', El Arabi Y. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
77', Nugent D. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
77', Mandroiu D. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
77', Kenny J. ↓, Watts D. ↑,
88', Towell R. 🟨,
88', Ndongala D. ↓, Corbu M. ↑,
89', Laifis K. ↓, Dvali L. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Watts D. ⚽, Byrne J. (A),

Preview

Shamrock is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

APOEL in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match APOEL is a favorite.

There will not play in Shamrock: Gaffney R. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
27.09.24	Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	0:3 ✺
23.09.24	Shamrock Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Derry City - Shamrock Rovers	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Galway United - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTWW
- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
29.09.24	Omonia 29is Maiou - APOEL	0:0 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
25.09.24	APOEL - Paphos	1:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.09.24	APOEL - Nea Salamis	3:1 ✺
18.09.24	Enosis Neon Paralimni - APOEL	0:4 ✺
14.09.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - APOEL	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWWW

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